Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 3.592617 4.146945 4.756125 5.474965 6.299789 7.216423 8.312247
2025-01-05 2.865438 3.601067 4.477716 5.598358 6.992039 8.667610 10.834887
2025-01-12 2.296358 3.108389 4.146889 5.570086 7.467895 9.909880 13.290147
2025-01-19 1.785696 2.584236 3.672343 5.259460 7.511907 10.590879 15.117672
2025-01-26 1.560180 2.396945 3.603533 5.463983 8.254592 12.279085 18.519894
2025-02-02 1.424295 2.310073 3.654487 5.834162 9.270841 14.471609 22.931701
2025-02-09 1.258695 2.146832 3.560368 5.961051 9.924567 16.194629 26.852889
2025-02-16 1.111942 1.987545 3.444055 6.026757 10.476704 17.811050 30.795485
2025-02-23 0.952831 1.780493 3.216002 5.867350 10.623163 18.770163 33.754803
2025-03-02 0.804135 1.567418 2.944812 5.589010 10.516031 19.269654 35.960520
2025-03-09 0.722220 1.464237 2.853595 5.618278 10.955038 20.762277 40.095873
2025-03-16 0.631345 1.329600 2.684429 5.475370 11.049143 21.629747 43.166020
2025-03-23 0.599207 1.310186 2.739018 5.784492 12.073362 24.397832 50.283207
2025-03-30 0.559132 1.268351 2.743467 5.994116 12.929224 26.948495 57.306412
2025-04-06 0.505733 1.189531 2.660670 6.010467 13.389522 28.766686 63.075163
2025-04-13 0.432828 1.055588 2.441400 5.701659 13.116048 29.041049 65.642414
2025-04-20 0.410169 1.034190 2.466519 5.938696 14.068940 32.021090 74.416263
2025-04-27 0.400924 1.043403 2.562170 6.350088 15.468519 36.136653 86.214434
2025-05-04 0.374873 1.006957 2.545701 6.493785 16.263213 38.990737 95.479956
2025-05-11 0.347384 0.962480 2.503542 6.568678 16.901934 41.558936 104.384789
2025-05-18 0.309903 0.885718 2.370488 6.397212 16.911533 42.643861 109.853009
2025-05-25 0.270744 0.797962 2.196681 6.095373 16.548904 42.778917 112.978863
2025-06-01 0.250963 0.761282 2.151719 6.127872 17.056369 45.123950 121.968436